Lori A. Post
Institute for Children, Youth, and Families
Michigan State University
Christopher D. Maxwell
School of Criminal Justice
Michigan State University
Purpose: Mandatory domestic violence arrest policies have led
to increases in the number of assailants arrested, prosecuted, and referred
to batterer intervention programs. However, there have also been increases
in the number of cases being denied or dismissed. This has raised questions
and frustrations concerning whether or not prosecutor’s offices are holding
batterers accountable. Specifically, are increasing domestic violence prosecutor
caseloads undermining coordinated community response efforts to increasing
assailant accountability? This poster presents findings that address the
question in terms of the nonlinear feedback mechanisms driving prosecution
caseloads and assailant accountability.
Method: Using a single case study design, data from a rural
prosecutor’s office database (n=1458 cases) and key informant interviews
(n=5) were used to build and test a system dynamics models (Richardson
and Pugh, 1986) of prosecutor’s office domestic violence caseloads and
dispositions. The fit between the resulting baseline model and numeric
data was then compared using Theil (1966) inequality statistics. Ford’s
(1999) behavioral approach was used to identifying shifts in feedback loop
dominance with respect to accountability and prosecution caseload.
Results: Analysis of the baseline model revealed that accountability
and prosecution caseloads were not directly related when caseloads were
increasing. However, they were directly related via a common feedback mechanism
when caseloads were stable, specifically, the allocation of prosecutor
resources to warrant reviews. That is, mechanisms for managing domestic
violence prosecution caseloads conflicted with mechanisms related to increasing
assailant accountability, but only when the prosecution caseload had reached
equilibrium.
Implications: 1. Policy resistance to increasing assailant accountability
stemming from organizational caseload constraints is mostly likely to appear
when the prosecutor’s office caseload is relatively stable. 2. Accounting
for shifts in feedback loop dominance is essential for develop an understanding
of the relationships between the structure and behaviors of complex social
systems.